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Pound Sterling Rises on Strong PMI

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Pound Sterling Rises on Strong PMI

Sterling Gains as UK Growth Accelerates

 

Pound Sterling Rises on Strong Flash UK PMI Data for August

NEWS | 08/21/2025 – 08:53 GMT

The Pound Sterling (GBP) strengthened against its major peers on Thursday following the release of stronger‑than‑expected preliminary S&P Global Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data for the United Kingdom in August. The Composite PMI rose to 53.0, exceeding both the consensus forecast of 51.6 and July’s reading of 51.5, marking the fastest pace of expansion in a year.


Sector Breakdown

  • Services: The Services PMI climbed to 53.6, up from 51.8 in July and above market expectations, driven by robust demand in the services sector.
  • Manufacturing: In contrast, the Manufacturing PMI fell unexpectedly to 47.3 from 48.0, missing forecasts of 48.3. This indicates a faster contraction in manufacturing activity, as readings below 50.0 signal a decline.

Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, commented: “The flash UK PMI survey for August indicated that the pace of economic growth has continued to accelerate over the summer after a sluggish spring, with the rate of expansion now at a one‑year high. The services sector has led the expansion, but manufacturing also showed further signs of stabilising.”


Monetary Policy Implications

Persistent inflationary pressures are expected to make Bank of England (BoE) policymakers reluctant to cut interest rates for the remainder of the year. Data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) on Wednesday showed that the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose at an annual rate of 3.8% in July — the highest in nearly 18 months — with core CPI matching that pace.

Earlier this month, the BoE lowered interest rates by 25 basis points to 4% in a narrow decision, while signalling a “gradual and careful” approach to further easing.


Market Reaction

  • The GBP/USD pair edged higher toward 1.3450 after the PMI release.
  • The US Dollar Index (DXY) hovered near its weekly high of 98.45 as traders awaited Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday.
  • Market pricing via the CME FedWatch tool indicated an 81.6% probability of a 25‑basis‑point Fed rate cut in September.

Analysts noted that gains in the US Dollar were supported by expectations that Powell might lean toward a hawkish stance, potentially tempering investor optimism.


Technical Outlook: GBP/USD

  • The pair is trading near its 20‑day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3460, reflecting short‑term indecision.
  • The 14‑day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 50.0, indicating a lack of momentum.
  • Support: August 11 low at 1.3400.
  • Resistance: July 1 high near 1.3790.
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