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Gold Eyes Record High

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Gold Eyes Record High

XAU/USD Holds Above $4000

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds above $4,000, eyes $4,060 record high

Gold continues to trade with a bullish tone on Thursday, holding firm above the psychological $4,000 level. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is quoted near $4,035, with the all-time high of $4,060 now within reach. Political uncertainty in France and Japan, combined with expectations of monetary easing in the United States, continue to support demand for safe-haven assets.


Geopolitical and fiscal tensions support gold

The initial optimism following the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas in Gaza has faded quickly, as investors remain cautious about the durability of the deal. Meanwhile, political instability in France—centered around budgetary disputes—and Japan’s fiscal ambiguity following recent cabinet reshuffles have added to global uncertainty.

In the United States, market participants are closely watching signals from the Federal Reserve. Expectations of further rate cuts have intensified following recent dovish commentary from central bank officials. The President of the United States has yet to comment directly on monetary policy, but broader fiscal pressures and election-year dynamics are contributing to speculation about future stimulus measures.


Technical analysis: Bullish structure intact

From a technical standpoint, gold maintains its upward trajectory. The $4,000 level has acted as a strong support zone, with bearish attempts consistently rejected above this threshold.

  • The 4-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below overbought territory, suggesting room for further upside.
  • A retest of the $4,060 record high appears likely, especially if momentum continues to build.
  • Beyond that, the 161.8% Fibonacci extension of the October 2–7 rally lies near $4,086, while short-term trendline resistance is now approaching the $4,100 zone.

Key support and resistance levels

  • Immediate support: $4,000 (October 8 low)
  • Secondary support: $3,940 (October 7 low)
  • Major support: $3,895 (previous highs from October 1–3)
  • Resistance: $4,060 (record high), $4,086 (Fibonacci extension), $4,100 (trendline resistance)

Outlook

Gold remains well-supported amid global uncertainty and shifting monetary expectations. If XAU/USD holds above $4,000, a breakout toward $4,060 and beyond is plausible. However, traders should remain alert to any signs of reversal, particularly if technical indicators begin to show exhaustion.

The broader macro backdrop—including geopolitical developments and policy signals from the Federal Reserve—will likely determine the next major move. For now, gold continues to shine as a preferred hedge against volatility and fiscal fragility.

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