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BTC Eyes $120K Breakout

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BTC Eyes $120K Breakout

Bitcoin Surges Amid Institutional Buying Wave

Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC Holds Above $113,400 Amid Fresh Institutional Accumulation

Bitcoin (BTC) is trading above $114,000 on Tuesday, having found technical support after facing resistance at a key level. A surge in institutional buying and steady inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs are reinforcing market confidence, potentially setting the stage for a continued bullish trend.

 Institutional Buying Fuels Bitcoin’s Momentum

Earlier this week, Strategy announced the addition of 390 BTC to its reserves, bringing its total holdings to 640,808 BTC, valued at approximately $47.44 billion.

Meanwhile, American Bitcoin, a company operated by the sons of the President of the United States, revealed the purchase of 1,414 BTC worth nearly $163 million, increasing its total holdings to 3,865 BTC.

In a parallel move, MetaPlanet launched a $495 million share buyback program, aiming to repurchase 150 million common shares. The initiative reflects a new capital allocation policy designed to maximize Bitcoin yield and long-term corporate value.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs See Continued Inflows

According to SoSoValue, spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $149.30 million in net inflows on Monday, marking the third consecutive day of positive flows. If this trend continues, it could further support Bitcoin’s recovery and strengthen bullish sentiment.

 October Crash and Tariff Fears

The 21Shares weekly report attributes the October 10 market crash to the President of the United States’ proposal of 100% tariffs on Chinese imports. This reignited trade war concerns and pushed Bitcoin’s correlation with the S&P 500 to over 60%, reflecting heightened macroeconomic sensitivity.

However, analysts suggest the tariff rhetoric may be more of a negotiation tactic than a firm policy. As signs of de-escalation emerge, digital assets have begun to rebound—similar to the post-Liberation Day rally, when the total crypto market cap surged over 50% in just six weeks.

 Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Indicators

  • Support Levels:

    • 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $106,453

    • 50-day EMA at $113,407

  • Resistance Levels:

    • 78.6% Fibonacci retracement at $115,137

    • Psychological barrier at $120,000

  • Indicators:

    • RSI at 53, above neutral, signaling bullish momentum

    • MACD shows a bullish crossover, confirming a buy signal

If BTC closes above $115,137, it could extend its rally toward $120,000. Conversely, a drop below the 50-day EMA may lead to a decline toward $110,000.

 

Conclusion: With strong institutional accumulation, positive ETF inflows, and easing political tensions, Bitcoin appears well-positioned for further upside. However, a decisive break above resistance levels is essential to confirm the continuation of the bullish trend.

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