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BTC Faces Psychological Support Test

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BTC Faces Psychological Support Test

Bitcoin Stabilizes, But Risks Remain High

Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC steadies near $103,000, risks deeper fall

Bitcoin (BTC) price remains steady around $103,000 as of Thursday, following a rebound from key support the previous day. Despite this short-term recovery, concerns persist over weakening institutional demand, as spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recorded $137 million in outflows on Wednesday, continuing a streak of withdrawals since October 29. On-chain data suggests that BTC could face deeper downside pressure if the $100,000 psychological level fails to hold.

Institutional Demand Weakens

Institutional interest in Bitcoin continues to decline. According to SoSoValue, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $137 million in outflows on Wednesday, following the largest single-day withdrawal since early August. This persistent trend signals fading confidence among institutional investors, which could accelerate BTC’s price correction if it continues.

 On-Chain Signals Warn of Breakdown

CryptoQuant’s weekly report highlights that Bitcoin’s fundamentals remain fragile. BTC has dropped below $100,000 for the first time in months and now trades beneath its 365-day Moving Average (MA) of $102,000—a key technical and psychological support level. Historically, this MA has marked the final support zone during bull cycles. Failure to reclaim it could trigger a sharper correction.

Realized Price Bands data shows that the $100,000 level has acted as a psychological floor, where traders often sell to realize losses. However, if selling pressure intensifies, the next major support lies near $72,000.

 Technical Outlook: Support or Slide?

On Monday, BTC faced rejection at a broken trendline and fell 8.18% by Tuesday, retesting the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at $100,353. On Wednesday, it rebounded 2.35% from that level and now hovers near $103,000.

  • Key support: $100,353

  • Next resistance: $106,435

  • RSI: 37 (just above oversold territory)

If the $100,353 level holds, BTC may recover toward $106,435. But if it closes below that support, the next downside target is $97,460.

Summary

Bitcoin’s price is stabilizing near $103,000, but risks remain. Weak institutional demand and fragile technical indicators suggest that a break below $100,000 could lead to a deeper correction. Traders are watching closely as BTC tests critical support zones, with the broader market sentiment still cautious.

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