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Markets pause on Thanksgiving

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Markets pause on Thanksgiving

Forex markets quiet amid US holiday

Forex Today: Markets quiet on Thanksgiving Day; USD under pressure

Here’s what you need to know on Thursday, November 27:

Trading activity slowed across global financial markets on Thursday as the Thanksgiving Day holiday in the United States thinned volumes. The European economic calendar features business and consumer sentiment data, while the European Central Bank (ECB) is set to release the minutes of its October policy meeting.

 US Dollar performance this week

The US Dollar (USD) struggled to maintain momentum this week, posting losses against most major currencies. It was weakest against the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), falling 1.80%. Other notable declines include:

  • 1.04% vs Australian Dollar (AUD)

  • 0.98% vs British Pound (GBP)

  • 0.61% vs Euro (EUR)

The USD Index (DXY) hovered slightly above 99.50 early Thursday, down more than 0.5% on the week.

 US macro data: mixed signals

  • Initial Jobless Claims: Fell to 216,000 for the week ending November 22, a seven-month low

  • Durable Goods Orders: Rose 0.5% in September, beating expectations of 0.3%

  • Wall Street: Major indexes extended weekly gains on Wednesday, reflecting a risk-positive mood

Despite upbeat data, the risk-on environment limited the USD’s ability to recover.

🇬🇧 UK Budget and GBP reaction

UK Finance Minister Rachel Reeves unveiled the Autumn Budget on Wednesday:

  • A 2% increase in taxes on savings, dividends, and property income

  • Extension of the income tax threshold freeze until 2028

  • Alcohol duties to rise in line with inflation

GBP/USD rose about 0.6% on Wednesday, reaching a one-month high near 1.3270 in the Asian session before consolidating below 1.3250.

🇪🇺 EUR and JPY: narrow ranges

  • EUR/USD: After two days of gains, tested 1.1610 in the Asian session and now trades below 1.1600

  • USD/JPY: Rebounded midweek but slipped toward 156.00 early Thursday amid cautious sentiment

 Gold holds firm above $4,150

Gold (XAU/USD) remains supported above $4,150 after rising 0.8% on Wednesday. Growing expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December continue to underpin bullish sentiment in the precious metal.

Geopolitical update

Russia confirmed that peace talks with Ukraine—brokered by the United States—are serious, though Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov warned that a final agreement remains distant and no major concessions will be offered. The President of the United States stated that a Ukraine–Russia agreement is “very close,” fueling optimism and supporting risk sentiment.

Summary:Forex markets remain subdued amid the US holiday, with the Dollar under pressure despite strong macro data. GBP and NZD outperform, while EUR and JPY trade in narrow ranges. Gold holds firm above $4,150 as rate cut expectations and geopolitical optimism shape sentiment.

 
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